Scans

From MCtrl/Freey list:
GTE,DAR,HOS,DNR,SY,ANR,BRY,FMC,BUCY,DRS,FDG,CMP,ILMN,STLD,FLS,MON,CHK,AGU

New uptend: HOS,DNR

MAC: EOG

OX
OTM: XTO,URBN,MON,NFX,CHK,ACI,PBR
ATM: ANR,URBN,MON,NFX,CHK,AGU,ACI,PBR,

cci

BUY
M:
W:
D: CAT,FDG,MA,MER,SHLD

SELL
M:
W: AXP, MA
D: CF,MOS

News

1. Lehmen brothers to raise US$3-4 billion. Needs to deleverage. Markets guessing they will report a bad quarter on June 16. Stock price took quite a hit after rising last week.
2. China's Yanzhou raises 2008 coal export price. Likely buffering for their winter ahead. Could bode well for ANR, FDG.
3. S&P cuts ratings on MER, LEH and MS.

14/5 Covered ITM

ITM
AAPL 190c: 5.1-5.3
AEM 65c: 6.33-6.38
ANF 75c: 4.2-5.7
AXP 47.5C: 3.1-7.8
BIDU 370c: 7.1-7.2
CAT 80C: 2.2-5.5
CF 140C: 7 - 7.8
DRYS 100C: 8 - 10.7
FCX 115c: 5.3 - 9.1
FDG 70C: 4 - 8
ISRG 290C: 4.9 - 5.68
MA 290c: 4.7 - 5.7
MER 47.5c: 4.9 - 7.4
MOS 125c: 5.7 - 9.2
MTL 155C: 5.9 - 8.3
POT: 6 - 7.58
RIMM: 4.9 - 6.9

8/5 Covered Calls

1. AEM 65C: 3.31 - 4.05%
2. DRYS 95C: 2.9 - 5.97
3. DRYS 90C: 3.03 - 5.61
4. CF 135C: 3.69 - 3.71
5. CLF 180: 3.19 - 4.31
6. FCX 120C: 2.3 - 4.21
7. FDG 70C: 1.86 - 4.09
8. MER 50C: 1.41 - 5.2
9. MON 120C: 2.58 - 3.3
10. MOS 125C: 3.41 - 3.97
11. MTL 160C: 2.37 - 5.12
12. POT 195C: 3.41 - 3.80
13. RIMM 135C: 1.56 - 4.87
14. SHLD 95C: 2.06 - 2.78

5/5 cci

Buy:
M: AXP
W: Nil
D: CAT,CLF,DRYS,FDG,POT,SHLD

SELL:
M: MON
W: CAT
D: NIL

4/5 Wave count

Only an exercise:
AAPL
27/4 Approaching Wave B (it's trying to go up, though)
4/5 Still going up, no signs of abatting.

AEM
27/4Seems to be after B going to C (trending down)
4/5 5 day MA turning. Wait for LSM and trade North.

ANF
27/4 Seems to be trading (non-trending) (34 EMA looks sideways on long term)
4/5 5 day MA turning south. See other indicators.

AXP
27/4 34EMA flat now. Could not wave count.
4/5 Uptrend but wait for other indicators.

BIDU
27/4 34EMA in uptrend. C - trending up. wait for u-turn signal.
4/5 Ell at all time high but Ell Osc turning.

CAT
27/4 Seems to be still in a new Wave 1 uptrend. However, recent actions has signs of red sea crossing - watch.
4/5 Red sea crossing was rather flat. Ell OSC turning down.

CF
27/4 red sea crossing over? Seems to be turning around from Wave 4 going to 5 - however, trend peaks failing retracement value . Play ZLR.
4/5 Noticed that 5 day MA turning very good for detecting turning points. an once 5 day cross 34, it will continue. Still waiting for ZLR. price resting around 34 EMA.

CLF
27/4 seems to be very toppish and end of a Wave 3. See how it goes.
4/5 3 days of successive selling. Ell now turning downtrend. Red sea crossing evident.

DRYS
27/4 seems to be wave 1 of new trend. However, top is not fuly reocevered. wait for Fish.
4/5 Ell flat so could not tell trend - need to watch. cci showed almost ZLR with turbo pointing upwards.

FCX
27/4 near Trend 3 and turning?
4/5 ELL turned, showing downtrend but a number of whipsaws present.
-be careful when trading this. but at extreme turning points, confidence of trade is good.

FDG
27/4 signs look pretty bearish but this stock has a tendency to reject 34EMA and coal is bullish at the moment. Looks like at Wave 3 peak.
4/5 ZLR ! Having seen that 27% of the world's coal is in US and oil price so high, then coal is still a strong growth stock.

ISRG
27/4 can't tell the wave count but could possible wait for a countertrend trade on cci or a u-turing on IFT.
4/5 Ell crossing to upside and small buying interest in last 4 trading days.

MA
4/5 Elliott going upside but most likely exhaustion gapping. Red candle appeared and possible of reversal becos of recent runup.

MER
27/4 uptrend - going towards establishing Wave 1
5/4 Uptrend still intact even though Red candle appeared on Friday.


MON
27/4 seems like at Wave 5 but don't be too happy 'cos grain in high demand currently.
4/5 Trade ZLR. Almost 3 doji's past 3 days. Wait for cci signals.


MOS
27/4 140 is the highest high ever achieved. Almost a Wave 5 count. But if it continues to build new highs, then it is just an extension of Wave 3.
4/5 ZLR but no green LSMA? Wait and see.

MTL
27/4 Either Wave 5 or extension of Wave 3.
5/4 This stock like to reject 34EMA. Friday's stock action rejected it.


POT
27/4 Could be at Wave 3. Anyway, this stock has very good potential.
4/5 Wave 3 gone. Most indicators are down.

RIMM
27/4 Almost in trading markets. could trend higher.
4/5 Friday gapped up. Ell is still sideways.

SHLD
27/4 almost at bottom of chart.
4/5 Looke like a ghost on cci. Ell is sturing up. With Americans receiving their check, it seems that they might go and buy and hence retail bullishness.

2/5 cci

Buy
M: AXP
W: FCX,FDG
D: FCX,MOS

Sell
M: MON
W: BIDU
D: FCX,MOS

1/5 Analysis

ANF
-Looks like TT to south.
-B/70P

BIDU
-Red LSMA, Fish turning. Rest of short term signals in indicators also flat.

CAT
-Bearish seems to be flat red sea crossing.
-B/80P

CF
-Still being sold off today
-must wait till AG sector rebound.
-if buy, look B/125P

CLF
-Looking bearish. Now resting at keltner.
-S/165C

DRYS
-Seems to be ZLR today. Strong buying interest. But overall still red LSMA.

FCX
-continue selling pressure today. REsting on keltner but all indicators bearish.
-S/120C

FDG
-premiums not too good.
-looks like TT.
-skip this for now.

MOS
-potential TT setup.

MTL
-miss this one. wait for reversal.

POT
-same, wait for reversal.

RIMM
-ranging trading between 128 and 118 for 2 weeks.
-S/115P

SHLD
-a lot of tussle.
-wait out.

30/4 CCI

Buy
M: AAPL,BIDU,CAT,FCX,RIMM
W: ANF
D: BIDU

Sell
M: (Nil)
W: CAT
D: CF,CLF,DRYS,FDG,MTL,POT

29/4 cci

Buy
M: AAPL,BIDU,FCX
W: AXP,DRYS
D: FCX,FDG,MTL,RIMM,SHLD

Sell
M: (None)
W: AEM,SHLD
D: BIDU,MON,MOS,POT

28/4 Analysis

AAPL
-widening Bollinger.
-generally still bullish. Trade in direction of trend.

AEM
-2 successive days of green candles and Friday's candle engulfed Thursday.
-S/60PUTS.

BIDU
-Watch !
-red candle at 10:36. LSMA red and Fish at high (not turning yet). Elliott oscillator also at high.
-S/380 calls.

CF
-shorterm downtrend. AT10:50, evening start candle.
-Fish, IFT, Elliott and MACD all turning
-B/135C or S/160P

FCX
-ZLR mode but Fish is trending down.
-see if it breaks LSMA today.

FDG
-Bollinger band narrowing but EMA still rising.
-trade only in direction of trend. Keltner band is providing support.

ISRG
-candle hit low keltner band
-may rise as a number of indicators are showing u-turning effect.
-consider S/270P

MON
-might go down as a number of indiators are showing downtrend.
-S/130C or B/120P

MOS
-like MON
-S/140C or B/120P

MTL
-ZLR ! But Fish is turining and rest of indicators are changing.
-S/160C

POT
-almost all indicators are turning down.
-Support at 190 followed by 34EMA at 180
-S/215C

SHLD
-See if candle hits Sell SAR.

24/4 Analysis

AEM
-Strong downtrend.
-play rebounce.

ANF
-IFT punching through -0.5 and GREEN LSMA came out on cci.
-Monitor

CAT
-3 bearish candles see if today go below red LSMA
-Monitor

CF
-Red sea crossing. Fish is turning and red LSMA appeared.
-Sell 160 calls or buy 140 puts.

CLF
-Monitor and see if downward
-strong stock espeically in last one month.

DRYS
-Seems to be exhaustion.
-Monitor

FCX
-Bearish engulfing
-Monitor

FDG
-Bearish candlesticks.
-Monitor

MER
-Bearish candlesticks,
-May find support at 34EMA.

MON
-Signs of retracement.
-Fish is turning and red LSMA.

MOS
-same as MON

MTL
-Bearish engulfing
-MONITOR

POT
-Bearish engulfing
-MONITOR
-188 will be 38% retracement.
-just announced beat by 0.20

23/4 Analysis

AAPL
-uptrend posture
-earnings tonite.

AEM
-Red sea crossing !!!!
-Fish able to identify turning.
-IFT RSI triggered, now at 0. If pattern correct, wait for TT on cci or U-turn on IFT RSI.

ANF
-ZLR to south + downward slopping 34EMA
-may go down further.
-From briefing: Abercrombie initiated with a Sell at BWS Financial; tgt $50 (74.06 ) : BWS Financial initiates ANF with a Sell and price target of $50 saying the invincible strength of teenager's disposable income seems to have a crack in its armor. Firm says the softer economic trends put the Company at risk for lower sales in the coming quarters. ANF targets are mostly dependent on their parent's nondiscretionary funds to receive disposable income to be able to buy at ANF.
-need today's candle to close above half of y'day's candle in order to confirm reversal, otherwise, it might go south.

BIDU
-wait for signal - cci already turning
-fundamentally, it is still strong b'cos of china story and also GOOG's results.

C
-wait for red LSMA for red sea crossing but the range is not big.

CAT
-3 successive red candles for day for monthly cci still in ZLR !
-34EMA still uptrend so trade when ZLR since CAT still fundamentally good stock.

CF
-Earnings Apr 24 AMC
-Can look to enter tomorrow since fetilizer company doing well.

CLF
-Fish at extreme
-see if u-turn

DRYS
-seems to be shooting (down) star - exhaustion?
-resistance at 87
-34EMA is turning up finally.
-is valentine's day pattern going to repeat?

FDG
-Sell SAR signal appeared, all signals pointing south at the top.
-Crude oil inventories build just came out:
-From Briefing:Dept of Energy reports that crude oil inventories had a build of 2421K (Bloomberg consensus is a build of 1500K); gasoline inventories had a draw of 3179K (Bloomberg consensus is a draw of 2000K); distillate inventories had a draw of 1377K (Bloomberg consensus is a draw of 50K).
-May 60 Puts or 65 calls.

ISRG
-IFT RSI reach oversold but cci lessening downward momentum.
-wait for u-turn signal -better not to pre-empt

MON
-long red tail candle
-seems that AG stock retracement - will check 60 mins later to get Support and Resistance.

MOS
-same as MOS
-detail analysis later.

MTL
-bearish engulfing candlesticks
-red LSMA appeared, FISH also turning down while stock at high.
-MONITOR!

RIMM
-seems to want red sea crossing but green candle today.
-I think they waiting to see AAPL performance.
-quite a fair bit of PUTS sales at 110

SHLD
-34EMA sloping down but green candle today - see if it breaks through more than half for bullish stance.
-short ratio at 11 so if it recovers, it will rise....hmmmm......

Pre-analysis for 21 - 25 April

AAPL
-Rejecting upward slopping 34 EMA & on top of Bollinger band
-S/May150P or B/165C or 170C(61.8%)

AEM
-Aiming for upward slopping 34EMA with Red candle gapped down from 17 April - potential RED SEA crossing.
-S/M75C or B/70P

ANF
-Aiming for downward slopping 34EMA with long green. 75 is the support/resistance line that always alternate till now.
-21/4 - see if it ZLR with enough cci points. if yes, S/75C.


AXP
-Decending triangle. Need to take out 48/50 to see if new trend.
-Otherwise, Last price above sideways 34EMA.
-B/45 - 50 C or S/42.5P

BIDU
-Seems to me it's trying to create Wave 1 of new trend.
-Rejecting upward slopping 34EMA.
-S/280P or B/400C

C
-Sideways 34EMA. Candle rejecting 34EMA but Red candle does not augement well. Narrowly traded by since red candle out of keltner band, it is most likely to go back red Keltner band.
-21/4 another red candle today? monitor

CAT
-upward slopping 34EMA. Closing candle stuck on Bollinger.
-New trend form by rising triangles.
-S/75 or 72.5C.
-21/4 Doji today.

CF
-Above 34EMA. Prepare for the stock to U-turn b4 going in.
-Fisher is at extreme 2.
-wait fo signal or shooting star.


CLF
-Same as CF.
-21/4 shooting star at 1009hrs.

DRYS
-Gradually upward slopping 34EMA.
-Rejection of 34EMA also.
-S/65P or B/???
-wait for ZLR to North.

FCX
-upward slopping 34EMA.
-wait for signs.

FDG
-Upward slopping 34EMA.
-AS closing bar happens near top of vein, this will help retracement.
-Observe on Monday - if bearish, then Sell 65 or 70C.
-21/4 Green bar but Fisher turning. Wait for IFT RSI or CCI to show retracement.

ISRG
-34EMA going down. found support at 61.8% and cci at -200 extremes.
-wait for IFT RSI to turn then potential to go in.

MER
-34EMA going sideways.
-21/4 Red candle today. 2 successive candles since Friday.
-buy 45 puts if TT south.

MON
-34EMA upward.
-21/4 RED LSMA today. wait for some retracements. might look to 130 calls.

MOS
-34EMA upwards
-21/4 Fisher turning from extreme. Wait for red LSMA and IFT RSI to u-turn.

MTL
-34EMA upwards.
-21/4 Potential VT/Ghost. Wait for red LSMA or Fish/IFT turn.

POT
-34EMA sharp angle upwards - reacting to china's potash price increase?
-wait for signal even though Fisher turning from extreme.

RIMM
-34EMA upwards. SAR has buy signal but red candle today.
-await breaking of 125 first, then it will be bullish since multimths high.

SHLD
-34EMA sideways.
-However, SHLD striked with negative news lately by withdrawal of credit.
-B/90P or S/105C